Frontline

Impacts of FLOW on Celtic Sea Ocean Fronts and Biodiversity

Lead Principal Investigator: Stephen Votier, Heriot-Watt University

Overview

FLOW has the potential to accelerate global net zero targets but, as it ventures into deeper, seasonally stratified shelf seas, the associated non-static infrastructure could have profound consequences for ocean physics, key ecosystem drivers and extend to top predators and fisheries via impacts on ocean fronts. Ocean fronts are persistent, highly productive, dynamic boundaries between stratified and mixed waters which create critically important marine biodiversity hotspots, valuable fishing grounds and are fundamental for the climate system.

Our vision is to explore potential FLOW infrastructure impacts on shelf sea ecosystem dynamics in the Celtic Sea, from ocean physics to phytoplankton, zooplankton, forage fish, top predators, and fisheries.

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Develop a mechanistic understanding of water column physics, chemistry, and biology in relation to natural-driven and FLOW-driven variation based on a combination of in-situ and high-resolution satellite remote sensing of fronts.

Objectives

Quantify the indirect effects of FLOW via fronts on the Celtic Sea marine predator community variation in timing, strength, and persistence of ocean fronts on Celtic Sea marine predators in terms of community-level distribution and abundance, population-specific distribution and species-specific fine-scale behaviour.

Quantify the potential direct effects of FLOW (which are likely to be quite different compared with well-studied fixed-position wind farms) on seabirds in terms of displacement, barrier effects and collision risk above and below water.

Determine the potential impact of FLOW-drive change in fishery distribution patterns on marine predators, benthic biodiversity, as well as the fishing industry. the social and economic implications.

Frontline will deliver new insights into ecosystem-level impacts of FLOW development, while providing advice for mitigating environmental impacts and offering new ways to promote nature recovery. The results will feed into strategic compensation and explore the value of ocean fronts as priority conservation areas. Outputs such as maps of front dynamics, wildlife movement corridors, fishing area hotspots and critical foraging habitats, will provide risk layers for marine spatial planning, FLOW site selection and assisting marine stakeholder coexistence.

Impact

Frontline Team

  • Heriot-Watt University

  • Marine Biological Association

  • Plymouth Marine Laboratory

  • University of Plymouth

  • University of Oxford

  • HiDef Aerial Surveying

  • University of Liverpool

Frontline Partners

  • Blue Gem Wind

  • Natural England

  • Natural Resources Wales

  • Welsh Fisherman’s Association

  • Celtic Sea Power

  • Marine Management Organisation

  • Flotation Energy

  • Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs

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